Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's converted from downtown overall this year while on his home court.
Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 29.7 minutes per game on his home court this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 44.7% on three-pointers (best in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, creating a positive matchup.
The Orlando Magic have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted a mere 38.7% of his field goals this year, quite a bit less than his 44.7 mark last year.
The Magic rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Magic will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the slowest pace away offense in the league this year (the Knicks).
The matchup against the Knicks is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game this year (4th-least in the league).

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