Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-107/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 84th percentile.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 15.6 field goal attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a good matchup.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 91.7% of his foul shot attempts without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has sunk 37.5% of his field goals away from home this year, ranking in the 19th percentile among all players in the league.
The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Raptors have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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