Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 3:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 41.2% of his treys this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.4 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.0 3-point attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup.
The showdown with Seth Curry comes in at only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with rival starting SGs hitting an enormous 49.0% of their shots from the field this year.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (82nd percentile).
As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have come down with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (9th-least in the NBA).