Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · May 22, 2023

Updated May 23, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has averaged 14.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's averaged overall this year.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 2.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's sunk overall this year.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has tallied 31.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a good one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 27th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.7).
The Lakers have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for in all games this season.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the foul line without the home court advantage: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year with a lowly 20.6 free throw attempts per game.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.