Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 30.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Nuggets.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.9 foul shots per game this year when the Warriors are the visiting team (26th-most in the league).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted just 8.3 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 10.8 rate last year.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has attempted a measly 4.2 3-pointers per game this year, significantly less than his 5.3 mark last year.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
The matchup against Golden State is a tough one; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (16.8).
The matchup against Klay Thompson is a tough one for 3-point shots; when Thompson is on the visiting team and squaring off against fellow starting SGs this year, they have made a mere 1.8 treys per game (7th percentile).