Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 3:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 8.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 more than he's converted overall this season.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has played 29.8 minutes per game at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 12.0% more than he's converted in all games this season.

Favors Under

The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for scoring; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 15th-least field goals per game in the league this year (4.8).
The Clippers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Clippers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Clippers may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (12th-least in the league).