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Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/5/2025

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Kelly Oubre Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-152/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Kelly Oubre Jr. measures in the 79th percentile for shots taken, tallying 11.9 per game this year.

Kelly Oubre Jr. has sunk 40.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 12.6% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Kelly Oubre Jr. has tallied 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a strong matchup.

Kelly Oubre Jr. has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league this year (the Heat).

The 76ers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, struggling to get to the foul line.

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