Kelly Olynyk Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has made 64.0% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season away from home.
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the other team has shot 34.0% on threes (3rd-worst in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The Raptors have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
Kelly Olynyk has attempted 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The showdown with Jusuf Nurkic comes in at the 20th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs nailing a mere 0.4 3-point shots per game this year when they are on the away squad.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Toronto Raptors rank 5thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The Suns have given up the most offensive boards per game (12.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Jusuf Nurkic has been very low this year (2.5 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 7th percentile).