Kelly Olynyk Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should boost possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Kelly Olynyk has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 13.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season at home.
Kelly Olynyk will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.5 fouls per game last year.
The Utah Jazz check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a challenging one; when the Lakers are the visiting squad, they have given up the 9th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.1).
Away from their home court, the Lakers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Lakers are the visiting team (15th-least in the NBA).