Kelly Olynyk Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
The matchup against the Kings may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games (21st-most in the league).
Kelly Olynyk will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has successfully made 26.7% of his 3-point attempts when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 25th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kelly Olynyk has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Sacramento is a tough one; when the Kings are the visiting squad, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (9.9).
The Utah Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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