Kelly Olynyk Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Kelly Olynyk

NBA · Player Props

Kelly Olynyk

F-C · Utah Jazz

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Kelly Olynyk Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kelly Olynyk has compiled 4.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's compiled overall this season.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kelly Olynyk has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Kelly Olynyk will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens stat production across the board.

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