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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Brooklyn Nets

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has averaged an impressive 21.1 points per game this season, significantly more than his 17.0 points per game last season.

Keldon Johnson has attempted 7.1 treys per game this year, significantly more than his 5.3 rate last year.

Keldon Johnson has attempted 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Keldon Johnson has averaged 31.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nets have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Nets is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a mere 25.1 foul shots per game while playing away from home this year (8th-least in the league).

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.

The Spurs have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Nets.

The matchup vs. the Nets is a difficult one for field goals; while on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the least baskets per game in the NBA this year (4.8).

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