Keita Bates-Diop Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Keita Bates-Diop

NBA · Player Props

Keita Bates-Diop

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

New York Knicks vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 11:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Keita Bates-Diop Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 21.1 mark, Keita Bates-Diop's playing time has jumped this season to 23.0 minutes per game.
Keita Bates-Diop has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 14th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
At home, the Knicks have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 51.6% mark, Keita Bates-Diop's shooting ability has diminished this year to 37.2%.
In regard to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA with the home court advantage over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 18.5% on 3-pointers (13th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, marking this as a hard matchup.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should decrease possessions for the Suns.

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