Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 6.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Keegan Murray has made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted from three in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.6 minutes per game this year.
The Kings have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Charlotte is a strong one for scoring; when the Hornets have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the most buckets per game in the NBA this year (8.7).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.5 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The 4th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Kings.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to decrease possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, struggling to draw fouls.

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