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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keegan Murray has averaged 25.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.

Keegan Murray has successfully made 4.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Keegan Murray has averaged 32.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

The 7th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's been called for overall this season at home.

The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a difficult one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).

The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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