Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 3:39 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 9.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shots taken have jumped this year to 12.4 per game.
Keegan Murray has tallied 30.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
In regard to scoring, the Kings's impressive 117.1 points per game settles in as the 8th-best in the NBA this year.
The Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 7 games while at home.
Keegan Murray has converted an impressive 86.7% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 75.3 rate last season.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile).
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 27.8% on 3-pointers (14th-worst in the league) vs. the Clippers, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Kings.
When playing on the road, the LA Clippers have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray ought to suffer a drop-off in output across the board as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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