Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made 2.5 shots from downtown per game while on his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
As it relates to offense, the Sacramento Kings's fantastic 119.6 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the most in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Kings have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have snagged 9.6 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).
Keegan Murray will likely see an increase in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

As it relates to 3-pointers, the Kings's lackluster 31.7% rate of successful threes as the home team ranks 5th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a tough one for three-point shots; opposing starting SFs have compiled the 9th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (24.3%).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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