Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+104/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made 40.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Keegan Murray has averaged 29.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 79th percentile.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a good one for three-pointers; when the Pelicans are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 26th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.6).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.
The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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