Karl-Anthony Towns Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Karl-Anthony Towns

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 6:49 PM EST

Analysis

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.
Karl-Anthony Towns has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Timberwolves have been the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 4.3 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.1 free throws per game (22nd-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns comes in at the 99th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.4 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against the Clippers is a difficult one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (27.2%).
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Clippers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.