Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Karl-Anthony Towns

NBA · Player Props

Karl-Anthony Towns

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season at home.
Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 33.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
In regard to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's fantastic 40.7% rate of drained threes rates most in the league over the last 25 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have shot 44.0% on threes (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 3.2 fouls per game this year.
The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the league while on their home court with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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