Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Karl-Anthony Towns

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Brooklyn Nets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted from three overall this season.
Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 33.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The rate of three-point shots sunk against Dorian Finney-Smith has been quite high (37.3%) when guarding fellow starting PFs this year (78th percentile).
While on their home court, the Brooklyn Nets have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 1.4 threes per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the Nets, making this a difficult matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Nets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.