Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

NBA · Player Props

Karl-Anthony Towns

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-185).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Karl-Anthony Towns has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's made from three in all games this year while playing on the road.
Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court.
The matchup vs. Denver is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have shot for the 22nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (35.0%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Karl-Anthony Towns has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (15.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Karl-Anthony Towns will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.