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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 4/3/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 61.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 8.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the year on his home court.

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 28.0% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.

In terms of scoring, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 115.7 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 25 games.

The quickest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Suns.

Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (99th percentile).

The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a hard one; he has given up a lowly 13.4 points per game while playing on the road when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (14th percentile).

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Phoenix Suns.

The Suns rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The showdown with Jarrett Allen when it comes to getting to the charity stripe comes in at the 10th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a mere 2.7 foul shots per game this year.

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