Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Washington Wizards vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle ranks in the 89th percentile, tallying a monstrous 19.6 points per game this year.
Julius Randle has tallied 32.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. Washington is a positive one for field goal attempts; when the Washington Wizards have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 7th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.6).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Julius Randle has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league away from home with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Julius Randle is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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