Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:19 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has compiled 26.8 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.9 more than he's compiled over the course of the year.
Julius Randle has tallied 35.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have shot 49.9% on shots from the field (21st-highest in the league) against the Magic, making this a good matchup.
The 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Knicks.
The Knicks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle comes in at the 87th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to offense, the Knicks's feeble 46.7% field goal rate places 9th-fewest in the league this year.
Julius Randle will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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