Julius Randle Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Assists

New York Knicks vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 11:13 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has compiled an impressive 5.4 assists per game this season, significantly higher than his 4.1 assists per game last season.
Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle lands in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 33.0 minutes per game at home this year.
In contrast to last season's 0.1 rate, Julius Randle's technical fouls have decreased this season to 0.0 per game.
The Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Julius Randle will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The New York Knicks are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Suns).
Away from their home court, the Suns have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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