Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics · May 11, 2024

Updated May 12, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jrue Holiday measures in the 85th percentile for 3-point proficiency while on the road with a great 40.6% rate this year.
Jrue Holiday has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (41.4%).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Jrue Holiday has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.5% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

The most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team, averaging a lowly 13.4 foul shot attempts per game.
The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).
Jrue Holiday will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance across the board.