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Jrue Holiday

Jrue Holiday Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jrue Holiday registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive production.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Jrue Holiday has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 15.4% more than he's converted overall this season.

The matchup against the Heat may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jrue Holiday has attempted a lowly 10.0 shots per game this year, significantly less than his 15.4 rate last year.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

The Boston Celtics are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

As a team, the Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 10 games, averaging a mere 14.9 free throws per game.

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