Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Boston Celtics · Apr 1, 2024

Updated Apr 1, 2024 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jrue Holiday places in the 89th percentile for 3-point prowess on the road with a phenomenal 42.8% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 33.2 minutes per game this year.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jrue Holiday has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.4% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 11.3 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, branding this as a hard matchup.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game this year (3rd-least in the league).
Jrue Holiday is expected to see a decline in output for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.