Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jrue Holiday has successfully made 57.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 8.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Jrue Holiday has converted 57.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 11.6% higher than he's converted from three overall this year.
Jrue Holiday has averaged 33.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.
When it comes to offense, the Celtics's outstanding 123.3 points per game rates most in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup against Denver may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (28th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jrue Holiday has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup against Denver is a tough one for threes; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (20.5%).
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Boston Celtics are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).