Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Boston Celtics

Points

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Feb 24, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jrue Holiday has made 63.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season away from home.
Jrue Holiday has made 57.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 13.2% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 6thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 17 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have snagged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Jrue Holiday has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.8 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the New York Knicks, making this a tough matchup.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.
Jrue Holiday will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decrease stat production for all stats.