Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 7:54 PM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jrue Holiday has tallied 32.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-quickest tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Magic).
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have brought down 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark additional opportunities for offense).
Jrue Holiday is expected to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Jrue Holiday has attempted a measly 10.6 field goals per game this season, significantly less than his 15.4 rate last season.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.9 three attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
Jrue Holiday has sunk just 1.1 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 2.2 mark last year.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Magic, making it tough to draw fouls.