Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Jrue Holiday

NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jrue Holiday comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 32.4 minutes per game this year.
With respect to offense, the Boston Celtics's terrific 123.0 points per game on their home court comes in as the 4th-strongest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the New York Knicks is a good one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 28th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (46.9%).
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 8.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise spark added chances for offense).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.5 foul shots per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Knicks, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 15.4 rate, Jrue Holiday's shots have decreased this season to 10.9 per game.
Jrue Holiday has attempted a mere 4.6 3-pointers per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 6.3 rate last season.
This matchup is a strong one for 3-pointers; their opposition has posted the 3rd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (41.2%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Boston Celtics.

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