Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Jrue Holiday

NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jrue Holiday registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game this year.
The Boston Celtics are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 5thbest in in the NBA while playing at home with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.
This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have snagged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 7.3 clip, Jrue Holiday's shots converted have regressed this season to 5.3 per game.
The Boston Celtics have been the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on their home court this year.
This year, opposing clubs have tallied 15.8 three-pointers per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a strong matchup.
The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (9.2).
The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.

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