Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

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Jrue Holiday

NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jrue Holiday has played 32.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a favorable one for threes; when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have put up the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (38.5%).
Jrue Holiday ought to see a rise in output across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 15.4 rate, Jrue Holiday's shots have dropped this year to 11.6 per game.
Jrue Holiday has attempted just 4.6 three-pointers per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 6.3 rate last year.
Jrue Holiday has tallied 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (81st percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has secured 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors (saving possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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