Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2023

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Jrue Holiday

NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Mar 30, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jrue Holiday has made 56.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 7.7% more than he's made over the course of the season playing at home.
Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Celtics have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Boston is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have put up the 14th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (40.6%).
As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been lousy at getting to the foul line in recent days: 6th-worst in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, totaling a mere 22.4 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup vs. Boston is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics are on the road (11th-least in the league).

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