Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Jrue Holiday

NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jrue Holiday has attempted 22.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Jrue Holiday has attempted 7.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Jrue Holiday has tallied 40.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jrue Holiday has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (31.3%).
The Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.
Jrue Holiday will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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