Jrue Holiday Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Jrue Holiday

NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jrue Holiday has tallied 5.1 assists per game at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
Jrue Holiday has tallied 33.1 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Magic).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense).
Jrue Holiday stands to get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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