Jrue Holiday Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Jrue Holiday

NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jrue Holiday has posted 7.4 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 98th percentile.
Jrue Holiday has played 30.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (which also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Jrue Holiday will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

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