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Josh Richardson

Josh Richardson Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Miami Heat vs LA Clippers

Josh Richardson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Richardson has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.

Josh Richardson has successfully made 92.3% of his free throws while on his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Clippers may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games (26th-most in the league).

Josh Richardson is expected to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Richardson has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (87th percentile).

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 11.4 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, creating a difficult matchup for offensive performance.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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