Josh Hart Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs New York Knicks · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has put up 4.4 defensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's hottest by this standard over this stretch of games: 81st percentile.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank 14thbest in in the NBA when playing on the road with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.3 higher than he's committed overall this season on the road.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year.
The Knicks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Nets).
The Brooklyn Nets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Hart will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production across the board.

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