Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 10/22/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Oct 22, 2024

Updated Oct 22, 2024 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has played 34.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 93rd percentile.
The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The New York Knicks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Josh Hart places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.3 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The New York Knicks rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season as it relates to field goals.
The most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the New York Knicks.
The Knicks will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-slowest pace team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Celtics).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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