Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 12:14 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has been on the court for 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 1.9 threes per game (23rd-most in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, creating a strong matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
At home, the Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Hart has converted 94.1% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 8.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 38.4% clip, Josh Hart's 3-point prowess has been reduced this year to 29.8%.
Josh Hart has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
The Knicks have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the New York Knicks.
The Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the New York Knicks.

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