Josh Hart Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has made 62.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.3% more than he's made over the course of the season away from home.
Josh Hart has successfully made 88.6% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.1% higher than he's made in all games this year.
Josh Hart has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league away from home this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition this year at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 free throws per game this year (9th-least in the NBA).
Josh Hart will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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