Josh Hart Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New York Knicks · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -300 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has posted 2.7 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the best in the NBA by this metric recently: 75th percentile.
The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Knicks.
The New York Knicks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Josh Hart has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 higher than he's been called for overall this season.
This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 13.3 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Josh Hart will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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