Josh Hart Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Josh Hart

NBA · Player Props

Josh Hart

G · New York Knicks

Assists

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Hart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Hart has tallied 3.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 84th percentile.
The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Cavaliers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Hart will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Josh Hart has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The New York Knicks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Knicks.

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