Josh Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Apr 26, 2024

Updated Apr 26, 2024 8:15 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has made 53.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 8.2% more than he's converted overall this year while on his home court.
With respect to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Josh Green has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 28.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Josh Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the NBA with just 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.