Josh Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has converted 52.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.3% higher than he's converted overall this year while at home.
When it comes to offense, the Mavericks's terrific 126.0 points per game while playing at home places 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games.
The fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.
Josh Green has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 34.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Josh Green is expected to get a boost in efficiency for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goal attempts (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have secured 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (preserving possessions that can produce more chances for offense).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

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