Josh Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Jazz have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Green will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Josh Green has attempted 3.4 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile among all players in the league.
Josh Green has tallied 7.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, -6.5 less than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Jazz is a challenging one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (13.8).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Mavericks.

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