Josh Green Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has successfully made 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made overall this year.
Josh Green has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.9 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league when playing on the road this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Josh Green has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (86th percentile).
The matchup against Vlatko Cancar is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; when squaring off against fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.5 treys per game (8th percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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